3. Sagan’s standard does not belong in hypothesis testing

Attention: This chapter is quite technical, with statistics and math. If you are not familiar with hypothesis testing, you may read skip this chapter and go to the chapter where I argue for a better standard than Sagan's standard. Which claims should you require stronger evidence to believe in? What is the level of confidence …

Do “extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence” in science? Is it scientific?

Content - list of chapters: A confirmation bias (My main point, first) Poor liars tell unlikely stories Sagan's standard does not belong in hypothesis testing Hypothesis testing already has its own standard, implied by the significance level definition Not "extraordinary claims", but "risky claims" - because our lives depend on our beliefs True detective work: …

“Prove mathematically that Jesus rose from the dead, and I will believe”

A mathematician raised his voice in the "grill a Christian with questions"-event: If you can prove the resurrection of Jesus mathematically, I will believe. It's a common misunderstanding that mathematical proves are more reliable than historical evidence. That is because they are, in a way. Mathematical proofs are stronger than historical and physics proofs. They …